The average poll result matches well with a CBS News/YouGov poll released earlier this month that had a “no” vote on the recall (52%) 4 points ahead of a “yes” vote (48%). “Statewide races in California are often won or lost in L.A. county,” said Del Beccaro, who is not aligned with any artimuses candidate. Elder “is going to bring a constituency that is going to help us get a ‘yes’ on the question No. 1.” Tom Del Beccaro, a former head of the state Republican Party who chairs Rescue California, one of the groups promoting the recall, said Elder would help drive support for the critical first question in his home Los Angeles area, the most populous in the state. Conservative talk show host Larry Elder, 69, said in a statement Wednesday night that he was seriously considering entering the race and would announce his decision early next week.

• Ventresca, a Democrat, was on the executive committee of the Services Employees International Union.
• The president is campaigning for and with Newsom on Monday.
• Build a mass public workers program to build housing, schools, hospitals, day-care centers and provide jobs for millions at union scale.
• But they will keep delegitimizing the democratic process for the GOP base, which will continue to provide cover for new voting restrictions and election challenges in Republican-controlled swing states.
• The final results for the unsuccessful September recall election targeting Gov. Gavin Newsom are in, and the data shows a more polarized California electorate compared to 2018, when Newsom was elected governor.
• Chief, John Myers John Myers leads the Los Angeles Times’ coverage of state government as Sacramento bureau; analysis, writes a weekly newsletter on California politics along with regular news .

The recall effort needed only to tap a portion of the six million Californians who voted to re-elect Donald J. Trump — more Trump voters than even in Texas — to meet the signature qualifications. The recall effort has revealed that even a one-party stronghold like California can be rocked by the nation’s political polarization, as health emergencies and lockdown policies disrupt and divide a jittery public. It has also brought into relief the conservative vein that threads through the state, from the rural Far North, through the Sierra foothills, down the Central Valley and into the tile-roof-and-cinder-block tracts of the struggling Southern California exurbs. Within a month, a recall effort that had only managed to submit roughly 4 percent of the necessary signatures was suddenly soaring, as major Republican donors sent money and the petition gained nearly 500,000 signatures. In battleground primaries, Ballotpedia based its selection of noteworthy candidates on polling, fundraising, and noteworthy endorsements.

Whos Voted So Far In The California Recall? Lots Of Democrats, Few Young People

The recall campaign submitted 2,117,730 signatures by the March 2021 deadline. The count yielded 1,719,943 valid signatures, which was roughly 13.8 percent of votes cast in 2018, exceeding the 12 percent threshold required to trigger the recall election. As of 2021, California is one of 19 states to allow recall elections. Under state law, any elected official may be subjected to a recall. To trigger a recall election of a statewide elected official, proponents must gather a certain number of signatures from registered voters within a certain time period. The number must equal at least 12 percent of the votes cast in the previous election for that office.

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Leaders praised the move, saying they feared an endorsement would drive down turnout among voters who preferred a different candidate. Recall supporters said Newsom mishandled the state’s response to the coronavirus pandemic, did not do enough to address the state’s homelessness rate, and supported sanctuary city policies and water rationing. Under California law since 1911, voters can seek to oust an elected official through the ballot box by invoking a recall. But it’s not easy, particularly if there isn’t major financial backing to pay for signature-gatherers. According to a UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll cosponsored by the Los Angeles Times released Friday, 60.1% of likely voters surveyed oppose recalling Newsom compared with 38.5% in favor of ousting the governor. Fewer than 2% of likely voters remained undecided or declined to answer, suggesting the issue is largely settled in the minds of California voters.

Elder, who denied those accusations on Twitter, could not respond directly to Faulconer because he never agreed to debate. Mostly, the debate consisted of the other top polling candidates, but just once Kevin Paffrath — one of the nine Democrats on the ballot — joined, too. The irony in this California conservative walk of shame is that Republicans were once masters of political shock treatments. Previous success stories — the elevation of a B-list actor named Ronald Reagan, the passage of the anti-tax Proposition 13, the removal of California Chief Justice Rose Bird and two of her liberal bench mates — continue to influence state politics. While Republicans did make some surprising voter gains in the 2020 election, their long-term prospects look terrible once again. Look at what happened in my homeland of Orange County, a place once redder than a fire engine.

Newsom came to the recall with advantages not shared by governors in other states. He is a supporter of former President Donald Trump, who is a reviled figure in California outside of his conservative base. Elder is critical of the landmark Roe v. Wade decision on abortion rights, has spoken in opposition to the minimum wage and promised to erase state vaccine and mask mandates that Newsom has insisted save lives. Newsom on Tuesday easily turned back the attempt to retire him less than three years into his first term.

Larry Elder is very good at getting the Republican base excited, but there’s no indication that he can go beyond that. The decision to attack Elder’s position on vaccines proved smart in California and provided Newsom with an opportunity to tap into fears about the Delta variant and frustration with the unvaccinated. A recent preelection poll from the Public Policy Institute of California found strong support for requiring proof of vaccines for large outdoor events and to enter indoor businesses and predicted 80% of likely voters would be vaccinated. Gov. Gavin Newsom meets with students Wednesday at Melrose Leadership Academy in Oakland, one day after defeating a Republican-led recall effort.